BCG: Industrials Underestimate Critical Mineral Risk Through 2040
Boston – October 29, 2026 -- Demand for key critical minerals will reach roughly 120% to 250% of forecast supply through 2040, and industrial companies are underestimating their exposure, according to a Boston Consulting Group (BCG) report. BCG's proprietary model covers rare earths, graphite, copper and lithium. The report, "Why Critical Mineral Shortages Are a CEO Issue," says three blind spots in standard risk metrics hide where the danger sits.
Gallium market under $350 million underpins $3.5 trillion of products
BCG calls the most overlooked inputs "mosquito minerals": their traded value is so small that they never reach a risk register. Gallium is traded in a market worth under $350 million a year, with production of about 900 tons. BCG estimates about $3.5 trillion of final products depend on it.